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Tournaments · 7 min

ICM and the bubble: when surviving is worth money

In tournaments your chips aren't worth what they seem. ICM changes which hands you can play.

In cash, a $1 chip is worth $1. In tournaments it isn't: the prize pool is split by finishing position, so a chip you lose is worth more than one you win. That principle is called (Independent Chip Model) and it's what most sets tournament players apart.

Why it matters

Since doubling your stack doesn't double your chances of winning the tournament, risking your tournament life on a nearly coin-flip spot is usually a mistake, even though in cash it would be an automatic call. Surviving is worth real money.

The bubble

The bubble is the moment right before the money starts. That's where ICM hits hardest:

Your stackHow to play the bubble
Short stackUltra-selective: don't bust right before the money except with premium hands or clear spots.
Medium stackAvoid clashing with the big stacks; don't risk your tournament without need.
Big stackApply pressure without mercy: the others don't want to bust, so you steal a lot without a fight.
✓ Consejo: Nobody calculates ICM at the table. What you train is the intuition: near the money, hit the brakes harder than your hand suggests.
💡 Clave: Chips ≠ money. Near the bubble and near pay jumps, survival has value: play more conservatively with marginal hands.

Key terms in this lesson

ICM
Independent Chip Model: in tournaments your chips aren't worth linear money.
MTT
Multi-Table Tournament: a multi-table tournament with payouts by finish.
push (all-in)
Betting all your chips at once.
See the full glossary →

Now practice it

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